Sports wagering can be extremely rewarding if an individual Know Often the tricks often the “smart money” gamblers apply to continually make funds. One of the greatest secrets that smart money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT in order to Bets.

Here’s a excellent case in point. We analyzed the particular West Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West Florida had the particular edge in the game. Yet , My spouse and i also noticed that there are a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guess on this kind of game. Here is my personal analysis I released before the game:

West Florida vs . Louisville

This activity offers all the symptoms of being one of the greatest games connected with the year, having each teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, having Western side Virginia coming again from becoming down big in the fourth fraction to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s www.ogdenvalleysports.com/%EA%B2%9C%EB%B8%94%EC%8B%9C%ED%8B%B0-gamblecity-%EB%A5%BC-%EC%84%A0%ED%83%9D%ED%95%B4%EC%95%BC-%ED%95%98%EB%8A%94-%EC%9D%B4%EC%9C%A0/ like this year?

If this game were being played with the simple field, West California would probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since typically the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented rotate. These people haven’t lost considering that March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they dropped to Las vegas Tech. In the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 ROUTE games.

These kinds of are some very impressive stats that tilt the scales in favor of WVU to get tonight’s online. Plus, typically the added in bonus offer is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like quite a bit, but in a near match-up similar to this, that more point might make the difference between the push and even a loss.

But what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are usually almost as good while WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their own past 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home game titles.

In addition to if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your own home since 12 17, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points each game at home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 8 points each game with home. In case a person failed to do the math concepts, that means since his or her last home reduction they already have averaged beating their own competitors by about 34 things per game.

Furthermore extraordinary, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten this divide, on average, by simply 13 things per activity at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Nearly all of those stats had been developed during the 2004 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They also have acquired recent games where they are yet to only scored 35, twenty three, 24 points. And these activities weren’t against Kentkucky Saint. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

To put it succinctly the fact that this is still a good close sport to call up. Yet the things i look for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no factor to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to middle of the 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is to lay off that game and not necessarily gamble at all. There happen to be better activities this end of the week with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score of this game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to come back the punt for a new TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s edge weren’t so big that they can may still win immediately after generating so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this specific sport, people serious regarding sports betting saved money many people can put to better use on forthcoming games.