Sports gambling is often very profitable if you know the techniques this “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that sensible money bettors use will be knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a excellent example of this. I analyzed typically the Western Las vegas vs. Louisville game, and concluded the fact that West Las vegas had the particular edge in the activity. Yet , My spouse and i also came to the realization that there was a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not wager on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released ahead of the game:
West Florida versus Louisville
This video game features all the symptoms of being one involving the best games regarding the year, with each teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, with West Virginia coming back again from getting down massive in the 4th quarter to winning throughout overtime.
So what’s the overall game search like this year?
In case this sport were being played at some sort of natural field, West Florida would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented roll. Many people haven’t lost considering that March. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. On the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROAD games.
These kind of are some very outstanding stats that tilt typically the scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s gaming. Plus, this extra bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This may not look like significantly, but in a near match-up this way, that excess point could make the distinction between a push plus a loss.
But what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s numbers are really almost as good because WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville within the point spread. In his or her very last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home games.
And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since 12 , 16, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. five points each game at home, while averaging only letting go of 15. six points every game on home. In case an individual decided not to do the mathmatical, that means given that his or her last home loss they’ve averaged beating their competitors simply by about thirty four details per game.
What’s more remarkable, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the particular pass on, on average, by means of 13 items per online game at home given that 2003.
Wow… how can you not in favor of that?
Here’s just how…
Many of those stats were built up during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They also have got recent games in which they have already only scored 36, 23, 24 points. These types of game titles weren’t against Iowa St. or Michigan. They have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.
The end result is the fact that this is still the close match to call up. Yet what I look intended for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s not any purpose to think WVU can’t have one to the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest professional recommendation can be to lay off this game and not necessarily wager at all. There are usually better games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut strengths.
The final score of this game was Louisville 46, West California 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for a good TD. www.ufabet168.info/%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%A1%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%A3ufabet was of which West Virginia’s fringe had not been so big that they may still win soon after doing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this video game, people severe about wagering saved money these people can put to better make use of on upcoming games.